As per my level, i have not found any modelling done on this regard. I wonder thinking about the changes ongoing in the Himalayas of Nepal due to climate change and/or population growth. Mountains chain is the only resource for providing drinking water, irrigation etc to 2 billion population along with the diverse organisms as well. No well documented data is available on this topic. However, appreciative steps have been taken by ICIMOD, IUCN and WWF.
I would like to the accurate methodology for doing research in the same topic.